Generation Dive: 6% Demand Drop

Generation down 5.87% this week with an increasing demand gap to boot.

It was a week of grid whiplash. While national demand eased off the accelerator, the gears of the energy sector kept grinding forward—quietly reshaping the way power is generated, stored, and regulated. From battery booms in the Pacific Northwest to peaker plant deals deep in Texas, the headlines tell the story of a grid under transformation.

Here’s what moved the market (and the electrons) this week:

  • Nationwide demand fell -6%, dragging down total generation -5.7%. Cooler weather in the East and storms in the Midwest put a lid on peak loads.

  • Portland General lit up 1.9 GWh of new lithium-ion storage, making Oregon a surprise battery power player.

  • 3 Arizona utilities hit peak demand records, thanks to 110°F+ heat and swelling data center load.

  • PJM fast-tracked data center reforms amid a surge in hyperscale interconnect requests.

  • Texas loaned NRG $216M for a new 456-MW gas peaker—part of a broader push to firm up ERCOT.

  • FERC Commissioner Mark Christie stepped down, setting up a Democratic majority and possibly shifting federal support toward colocating data centers with power plants.

  • Sunrun says 70% of new installs include batteries, signaling that distributed storage is now the default, not the add-on.

US48 Summary

US48 Total Gen: 92.6M MWh (⬇ -5.65%)
Demand: 93.0M MWh (⬇ -6.01%)
Renewables Share: 19.98%
Volatility Index: 46.96 (still high, still rising)

 

Total

Change

Total Generation (7d)

92,597,932.0 MW

-5.65%

Total Demand (7d)

93,030,103.0 MW

-6.01%

Demand Gap

-432,171.0 MW

-48.34%

% Renewables

19.98%

+0.00%

% Fossil Fuels

62.51%

+0.00%

Volatility Index

46.96

N/A (30-day metric)

US48 Power Mix

This chart shows how different generation sources contributed to US48 power output over the last 7 full days. Lorem ipsum placeholder for commentary.

US Generation vs Demand

US Total Generation: Week-over-Week

Generation by Fuel Type: Week-over-Week

US Regional Generation Change Map

Total power generated in each region over the past 7 days.

Difference between generation and demand by region.

Detailed Regional Breakdowns

SWPP

Wind lost steam midweek, and coal filled the gap as demand remained strong. SPP’s big story this week was stability—barely—thanks to careful load balancing across state lines.

 

Total

Change

Total Generation (7d)

6,926,897.0 MW

-2.22%

Total Demand (7d)

6,853,090.0 MW

-1.07%

Demand Gap

73,807.0 MW

-52.80%

% Renewables

34.24%

+0.00%

% Fossil Fuels

60.86%

+0.00%

Volatility Index

87.27

N/A (30-day metric)

CISO

Solar surged across California, pushing renewables above 52%. Wildfire threats near NorCal transmission lines were contained—barely—keeping blackouts off the headlines for one more week.

 

Total

Change

Total Generation (7d)

4,487,521.0 MW

+3.16%

Total Demand (7d)

5,160,543.0 MW

+8.82%

Demand Gap

-673,022.0 MW

+71.61%

% Renewables

52.95%

+0.00%

% Fossil Fuels

39.78%

+0.00%

Volatility Index

32.94

N/A (30-day metric)

ERCOT

Texas coasted through another scorcher with solar and batteries doing the heavy lifting midday. That $216M gas plant loan to NRG? A clear sign the state’s not betting it all on sunshine.

 

Total

Change

Total Generation (7d)

11,247,119.0 MW

-0.05%

Total Demand (7d)

11,260,522.0 MW

-0.04%

Demand Gap

-13,403.0 MW

+3.61%

% Renewables

37.07%

+0.00%

% Fossil Fuels

56.48%

+0.00%

Volatility Index

80.59

N/A (30-day metric)

ISNE

New England cooled off—literally. Generation and demand both nosedived, but ISNE still showed the most volatility nationally as nuclear units flexed and storage picked up slack.

 

Total

Change

Total Generation (7d)

2,296,062.0 MW

-9.87%

Total Demand (7d)

2,269,238.0 MW

-13.52%

Demand Gap

26,824.0 MW

-135.12%

% Renewables

6.50%

+0.00%

% Fossil Fuels

67.53%

+0.00%

Volatility Index

187.14

N/A (30-day metric)

MISO

Thunderstorms swept the upper Midwest, taking wind offline and sending gas demand up. Entergy doubled down on transmission upgrades in Louisiana to prep for more outages—natural or not.

 

Total

Change

Total Generation (7d)

14,324,950.0 MW

-2.45%

Total Demand (7d)

14,760,591.0 MW

-1.80%

Demand Gap

-435,641.0 MW

+26.16%

% Renewables

14.55%

+0.00%

% Fossil Fuels

71.90%

+0.00%

Volatility Index

77.05

N/A (30-day metric)

NYIS

Rainy weather took a bite out of wind and solar, while gas kept the grid steady. Storage helped shave peaks downstate, and NY battery operators want more market access ahead of winter.

 

Total

Change

Total Generation (7d)

2,855,677.0 MW

-11.87%

Total Demand (7d)

3,182,922.0 MW

-12.24%

Demand Gap

-327,245.0 MW

-15.39%

% Renewables

16.32%

+0.00%

% Fossil Fuels

64.19%

+0.00%

Volatility Index

20.56

N/A (30-day metric)

PJM

Heat receded across the region, trimming demand and letting gas plants coast. Meanwhile, PJM announced new reforms to clear its data center interconnection backlog—expect volatility to return once those loads start landing.

 

Total

Change

Total Generation (7d)

18,293,345.0 MW

-9.84%

Total Demand (7d)

17,290,582.0 MW

-10.14%

Demand Gap

1,002,763.0 MW

-4.23%

% Renewables

6.42%

+0.00%

% Fossil Fuels

64.65%

+0.00%

Volatility Index

22.11

N/A (30-day metric)