The data center debate has finally reached the toll booth. For the past year, the loudest version of the argument has been cultural and local: too much water, too much land, too much noise, too much “why exactly are we paving over my county so a chatbot can write bad wedding vows?”
That fight is still real, but the sharper one is now financial. Data centers want grid access at a scale most utilities were not built to deliver quickly. Ratepayers do not want to become involuntary venture capitalists for hyperscalers. Generators want enough certainty to build. Regulators want growth, reliability, and affordability, ideally without being blamed for the physics. This issue is about the hard part of the AI buildout: turning demand into power without turning the grid into a subsidy laundromat.
The Lede
HIGHLIGHT ESSAY
How Will Data Centers Pay for Power?
This is not “news” in the narrow sense, but it deserves top billing anyway. Travis Kavulla’s “How Will Data Centers Pay for Power?” is one of the best pieces yet on the actual electricity problem beneath the AI boom: data centers are not just another customer class politely asking for service. They are a parallel industrial load trying to use a scarce public platform at a scale the platform was not designed to absorb quickly.
The essay matters because it moves past the bumper-sticker version of “make Big Tech pay.” That sounds easy until you get inside the utility machinery, where joint costs, monopoly incentives, average rates, embedded-cost pricing, and speculative interconnection requests all start breeding in the walls. Kavulla’s point is that data centers should be able to buy speed and certainty, but only under rules that protect existing customers and force new load to pay for the grid it actually triggers.
Price grid access honestly. Data centers should not pay ordinary average rates if they are causing extraordinary new costs for wires, transformers, substations, and generation. Otherwise, the result is a quiet cost shift from hyperscalers to legacy customers.
Treat interconnection like scarce capacity. The current queue can reward whoever files first, whether the project is real or just a paper claim on future power. Kavulla’s better model is an “open season” for grid access, borrowing from gas pipelines, where providers define available capacity and data centers bid for firm withdrawal rights.
Let serious projects pay for certainty. If a data center truly values power at a particular site, it should be willing to back that demand with real money. That would help separate actual projects from queue confetti and give utilities a clearer signal for what infrastructure is worth building.
Return surplus value to ratepayers. If data centers bid for scarce grid capacity and those bids exceed the cost of needed upgrades, the upside should not simply disappear into the utility fog bank. Done right, surplus revenues could flow back to existing customers.
Make “bring your own generation” mean something. BYOG cannot just be a press release about clean energy while the legacy grid quietly absorbs the reliability risk. A serious version would require data centers to bring new generation, free up unused capacity, or operate flexibly as a condition of service.
Reward flexibility, not just size. Data centers that can curtail, ramp, shift computing, or operate with backup power during stress should be more valuable to the grid than loads that demand perfect service at all hours and then send everyone else the bill.
Other Things to Check Out
E3: Understanding the Drivers of Rising Electricity Rates and the Role of Data Centers
A useful corrective to the cartoon version of the rate debate. E3 finds that many forces are pushing bills up, including inflation, gas volatility, resilience spending, grid modernization, market design, retirements, and load growth. In PJM, E3 estimates load growth accounted for about half the capacity price increase, with the rest driven by market design changes, retirements, accreditation changes, and other supply-side factors.VICE: The AI Boom Is Taking Over the U.S. Power Grid, and This Map Shows Where It’s Happening
A more consumer-facing look at the national data center map, with 4,000-plus facilities spread across the country and heavy concentrations in Virginia, California, and Texas. Not the wonkiest piece in the stack, but useful for seeing how this issue is starting to reach normal people, which is where politics usually begins sharpening its little teeth.Financial Times: Is Gas Making a Comeback on the U.S. Power Grid?
The FT looks at the surge in gas capacity in interconnection queues, with gas back in the conversation because data centers and industrial load need firm power faster than the existing clean-energy buildout can always deliver it. The uncomfortable reality: the AI boom is reviving arguments that many policymakers thought they had already retired, laminated, and placed gently in a drawer.Scientific American: NASA’s Plan for a Nuclear Reactor on the Moon
A fun one for the nuclear file. NASA is looking at lunar nuclear power as part of the infrastructure needed for longer-term moon operations, with China and Russia also eyeing lunar reactors. The lesson travels back to Earth nicely: wherever humans want durable activity beyond the easy reach of the grid, firm power becomes the main character.
Major Stories
AUCTIONS
PJM Moves Up Its Backstop Auction
PJM now plans to hold its backstop reliability auction in September instead of March, accelerating a one-time procurement meant to help meet rising data center demand. The auction was originally part of a two-part process that included bilateral contracting between large loads and suppliers, but PJM’s board now says the backstop and its “connect and manage” large-load rules are too intertwined to keep on separate tracks.
The key sentence is the one about cost allocation. PJM urged states to immediately create frameworks to keep residential and existing customers from absorbing data-center-driven auction costs, but analysts still say it is unclear how those costs can be assigned only to hyperscalers. Translation: everyone agrees Big Tech should pay for the rescue boat, but nobody has yet figured out how to keep the ticket from being stapled to everyone’s utility bill.
Grid Take: PJM is trying to buy time because the normal market machinery is not moving fast enough. That may be necessary, but every emergency workaround becomes dangerous if the bill gets socialized while the benefits get privately contracted.
FLOATING DATA CENTERS
Quick Primer: How Floating Data Centers Work

Peter Thiel led a $140 million investment in Panthalassa, a startup trying to build wave-powered floating AI data centers. The company’s idea is to put compute offshore, use wave motion to generate electricity, cool the equipment with seawater, and move at least some AI infrastructure away from land, local grids, and county zoning boards with microphones.
The basic idea: Instead of plugging a data center into a stressed land grid, the platform generates power from ocean-wave motion and runs compute directly onboard.
The shape: Panthalassa has described large autonomous offshore structures, roughly “lollipop”-like, that convert wave motion into electricity through internal systems.
The cooling advantage: The ocean is a giant heat sink, which helps with one of the least romantic but most important parts of AI infrastructure: keeping machines from cooking themselves.
The connectivity problem: Offshore compute still has to move data. Reports say Panthalassa’s approach relies on satellite connectivity, including Starlink, which makes the project part energy concept, part telecom concept, part naval weirdness.
The real question: Floating data centers avoid some land, water, and grid fights, but they create new ones around reliability, maintenance, storms, permitting, marine impacts, latency, and whether anyone actually wants their AI infrastructure bobbing around like a sovereign Roomba.
Grid Take: Floating data centers sound ridiculous until you look at the current interconnection queue. When land-based power gets slow, expensive, and politically radioactive, capital starts looking for stranger geography.
PJM ISSUES
PJM Paid Nearly $1 Billion to Money-Losing Plants in Q1
Reuters reports that PJM paid nearly $1 billion in uplift credits to power plants in the first quarter, a record payout tied to winter cold, fuel price spikes, and plants that were dispatched even though market revenues did not cover their costs. The first-quarter total of $990 million exceeded the combined annual uplift total for all of 2025 and dwarfed the $270 million paid in all of 2024.
This is the unglamorous underside of reliability. During stress events, PJM needs old, expensive, sometimes barely economic plants to run because the alternative is worse. Maryland’s Chalk Point, with gas units more than four decades old, received $205 million in uplift payments, the most of any single plant, because in a constrained pocket around Baltimore and Washington, D.C., an old plant can still be the thing standing between a bad day and a voltage-collapse seminar.
Grid Take: Uplift payments are the grid’s pawn-shop receipt: proof that someone waited too long, then had to pay whatever the system demanded under stress. The answer is not to sneer at old plants for being old; it is to build enough new supply and transmission so the old plants stop holding the system hostage.
DATA CENTERS
Data Centers Could Eat a Third of Commercial Building Power
EIA now projects that data center servers could account for 22% to 33% of commercial building electricity use by 2050, depending on the scenario. In its high-demand case, server electricity consumption reaches 818 billion kWh in 2050, more than 16 times the 2020 level. Across all cases, servers already accounted for an estimated 7% of commercial sector electricity consumption in 2025.
That helps explain why the commercial sector keeps becoming the center of gravity for electricity demand. EIA expects commercial building energy intensity to surpass its 2003 historical high in the early 2030s, with data centers pushing the sector in the opposite direction of the old efficiency story. For years, the commercial building story was LEDs, better HVAC, and smarter controls. Now it is also AI racks with the appetite of a small industrial republic.
Grid Take: Efficiency will matter, but it will not erase the load. The new commercial sector is not just offices, malls, and warehouses; it is compute infrastructure, and the grid will have to plan for buildings that behave less like buildings and more like factories.
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Quick Signals
PJM got permission to pull data centers off the grid before blackouts. DOE granted PJM emergency authority to curtail data centers and other large loads with backup generation during this week’s hot-weather stress, but only as a last resort before rolling blackouts. That is a giant little sentence: data centers are no longer just “new load” in PJM. They are now a controllable emergency resource, which is what happens when the grid runs out of polite fiction.
PJM moved the backstop auction up because March is too late now. PJM now plans to hold its backstop reliability auction in September instead of March to address rising data-center demand. The unresolved problem is cost allocation: PJM wants states to protect existing customers from data-center-driven auction costs, but nobody has fully solved how to keep hyperscaler capacity needs from washing through ordinary bills.
PJM’s winter bill came due at almost $1 billion. Reuters found PJM paid a record $990 million in uplift payments to money-losing plants in Q1, more than the $764 million paid in all of 2025 and far above the $270 million paid in 2024. This is the grid’s most expensive kind of confession: when the system gets tight, old plants with ugly economics suddenly become priceless.
NERC says the summer looks manageable, but the shoulders are getting weird. NERC says the U.S. power grid should have enough resources for typical summer demand, helped by new additions, but risk is growing in shoulder seasons as demand patterns, maintenance schedules, and data center interconnection delays make forecasting harder. The old calendar assumed spring and fall were the quiet rooms of the grid. AI load is dragging a drum kit in there.
South Carolina’s data center politics are turning Republican-on-Republican. Rep. Nancy Mace is pushing for a statewide data center moratorium, joining a growing bipartisan pause-the-buildout movement driven by utility-cost concerns. That matters because data center skepticism is no longer just progressive environmentalism or rural NIMBYism. It is becoming right-flank ratepayer politics with a hard hat and a microphone
Texas may be planning water as if AI never showed up. E&E reports that Texas officials are scrambling to prepare for AI-serving projects, but the state’s draft water outlook skips the data center surge. That is the Texas growth model’s blind spot in miniature: the power story gets all the attention, but the water ledger is sitting quietly in the corner with a knife.
Storage just had a monster quarter. U.S. developers installed 9.7 GWh of energy storage in Q1, a first-quarter record and up 32% year over year, with SEIA pointing to data centers, volatile power prices, and gas-market disruption as demand drivers. Storage is not firm power, but it is becoming the grid’s shock absorber, and the AI buildout is buying every cushion it can find.
California may fumble one of its best flexibility tools. Newsom’s revised budget funds California’s Demand Side Grid Support program through this year but zeroes it out in 2027, moving participants toward a utility-run framework that clean-energy groups oppose. The program dispatched more than 539 MW during a test last July, which is exactly the sort of flexible capacity everyone says they want until the budget scissors come out.
Chart of the Day

Natural gas is still doing the quiet heavy lifting.
NERC’s 2026 Summer Reliability Assessment shows fewer regions at elevated risk than last summer, helped by new solar, storage, and gas-fired capacity. But the attached chart tells the more important story: 2026 summer demand is still rising, with net internal demand up roughly 11 GW and total internal demand up roughly 15 GW from 2025’s actual summer peak around 900 GW.
That means the reliability outlook has improved, but not because demand cooled off. It improved because the system added enough resources to stay ahead of the load curve, and natural gas remains the flexible, dispatchable piece that keeps the whole thing from turning into a weather-dependent trust exercise.
Grid Take:
The clean-energy buildout matters, but summer reliability still runs through gas. The grid can add solar and batteries all day, but when demand climbs and the margin gets thin, dispatchable fuel is still the adult in the room.
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